Periodical


JUNE


2025

This issue…

01 HORSE IN FOCUS
02 ON THE TRACK
03 ROYAL ASCOT REVIEW
04 Stud visits
05 Where are they now
06 Clodagh’s Recipe
07 Tattinger Moment

Alex Smith

En primeur 2021 sequel
Alex’s Tipple

So how did it turn out? My article back in April alluded to the demise of Bordeaux in general and the concern ahead of the latest en primeur campaign.

The concern was based on the recent decline in particular for claret and the poor returns on recent en primeur vintages.

Despite considerable reductions on release prices (Chateau Lafite was down 31% on the 2023 price and 52%! On its 2022 price), the campaign largely failed to capture the focussed attention of the final consumer. Basically the reductions weren’t sufficient to stimulate demand, with some reports indicating a 60% decrease in sales among leading wine merchants.

Many buyers are hesitant due to the high release prices of recent vintages, which often exceed the prices of older (ready for drinking) more established wines in the secondary market. Coupled with the fact that the market is experiencing an oversupply of Bordeaux, things are looking pretty bleak, but in time may represent an opportunity for those looking for some value-at last! As an example some of the “super seconds” such as Chateau Leoville Las Cases and Chateau Ducru-Beaucaillou can be purchased for less than half of their 2022 release price-a striking indication either of the exceptional value for money to be found in 2024 or (and in my book more likely) the failure of the market to have accepted their release price repositioning in earlier vintages.

Either way it is clear that we have witnessed a very significant downward recalibration in prices-in fact the lowest since 2014 and in some cases 2013. In fact plotting the average release price for a number of vintages for the classed growths of the Medoc, shows us that the prices for 2024 come out somewhat below those for 2005.

Image: Chateau Lafite

So what of the future? Have we reached a tipping point when consumers are tempted back into the market? I don’t believe so as there is still so much claret sitting in bond, not least in the warehouses of the Negotiants in Bordeaux, who no longer receive favourable terms from French banks.  For me prices have risen too fast for too long and need further significant reductions. I think things are going to get worse before they get better. After all the luxury goods market, following strong growth in the years between 2019-2023 is in decline and facing a significant slowdown, with headwinds-especially in the key China market-weighing heavily on the sector.

With the reduction in wine consumption (apart from rose!), there could be bleak times ahead for the Bordelais.

Alex Smith

‘So what of the future? Have we reached a tipping point when consumers are tempted back into the market?’

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